Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 50.661511 58.207314 65.983533 74.560084 83.719578 93.176955 103.648538
2025-12-28 41.364698 52.344550 64.218582 77.865649 92.979942 109.084334 127.422862
2026-01-04 35.203741 48.034027 62.421536 79.445938 98.765658 119.769690 144.104169
2026-01-11 29.389732 43.263035 59.380482 78.973567 101.695323 126.829445 156.372415
2026-01-18 24.775281 39.307868 56.772485 78.531769 104.250172 133.122100 167.468947
2026-01-25 21.407731 36.485684 55.183153 78.991626 107.594741 140.103783 179.160403
2026-02-01 18.081784 33.333187 52.886951 78.343935 109.423563 145.170108 188.519133
2026-02-08 15.482280 30.858765 51.216398 78.267515 111.772704 150.713159 198.317323
2026-02-15 12.933700 28.154898 49.025938 77.358191 112.967393 154.785074 206.312021
2026-02-22 11.418021 26.791034 48.487117 78.440594 116.513774 161.577391 217.432275
2026-03-01 10.190712 25.724462 48.253725 79.840415 120.395561 168.729810 228.947168
2026-03-08 8.415337 23.545174 46.317215 78.892993 121.258202 172.189869 236.049476
2026-03-15 6.638716 21.110962 43.873305 77.183971 121.120145 174.437565 241.744755
2026-03-22 6.265836 21.153855 45.038535 80.337513 127.175483 184.237498 256.475213
2026-03-29 5.585964 20.517416 45.129997 81.984705 131.272079 191.624845 268.307279
2026-04-05 4.537550 18.970465 43.729222 81.496889 132.557599 195.519597 275.913981
2026-04-12 3.640297 17.546508 42.412393 81.048625 133.837711 199.366799 283.432185
2026-04-19 3.017368 16.596618 41.778643 81.516326 136.283605 204.637804 292.659192
2026-04-26 2.314803 15.256467 40.407249 80.857293 137.191121 207.954493 299.484427
2026-05-03 1.796250 14.226227 39.474178 80.779519 138.834013 212.166883 307.383887
2026-05-10 1.272345 12.948608 38.012268 79.854134 139.290377 214.849470 313.383814
2026-05-17 1.026683 12.469987 37.925884 80.955647 142.472548 220.975582 323.613057
2026-05-24 0.841293 12.129929 38.063618 82.380009 146.086541 227.648780 334.519411